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Red62
699218.1
403942.4
956210.5
Blue94
430816.9
491732.3
499215.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8265020401001201406294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.41.0
41.040.0
Auto12.5
Teleop26.7
End3.3
red by 10.1
32.31.5
32.233.7
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End2.2
Second
6992
#49
18.11.0
18.917.9
Auto9.7
Teleop5.4
End3.0
red by 1.2
4308
#24
16.91.5
16.317.9
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.7
Third
9562
#42
10.51.0
12.111.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.1
blue by 4.6
4992
#38
15.01.5
12.413.9
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned