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Red62
765914.8
750913.7
128522.2
Blue59
354312.6
85748.9
415234.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496402040801001201406259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#11
22.21.1
18.619.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.1
blue by 12.3
4152
#12
34.50.1
33.433.2
Auto14.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
Second
7659
#41
14.81.1
13.714.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 2.2
3543
#43
12.60.1
13.713.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End0.6
Third
7509
#46
13.71.1
13.414.5
Auto7.7
Teleop3.9
End2.1
red by 4.8
8574
#50
8.90.1
9.08.9
Auto6.9
Teleop2.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned48%Ensemble oddsMissed