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Red65
591226.7
61031.3
613515.1
Blue89
616219.6
490734.1
492028.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828740601001201406589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#13
31.30.8
31.530.7
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End-0.2
blue by 2.8
4907
#16
34.10.7
33.133.8
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End4.5
Second
5912
#10
26.70.8
27.226.4
Auto10.7
Teleop13.5
End2.5
blue by 2.0
4920
#40
28.60.7
26.126.8
Auto13.2
Teleop14.4
End1.1
Third
6135
#47
15.10.8
15.915.1
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End1.5
blue by 4.5
6162
#30
19.60.7
18.819.6
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed