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Red59
502427.3
697828.7
503615.5
Blue78
490319.7
316135.1
131019.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86790501001502005978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6978
#19
28.71.3
30.829.5
Auto11.8
Teleop15.6
End1.3
blue by 6.4
3161
#20
35.10.4
34.334.7
Auto15.6
Teleop17.1
End2.4
Second
5024
#14
27.31.3
29.428.1
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.9
red by 7.7
4903
#23
19.70.4
19.319.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Third
5036
#28
15.51.3
16.915.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
blue by 3.6
1310
#39
19.20.4
18.719.1
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed