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Red101
906225.8
406923.1
492028.6
Blue128
540931.8
128522.2
755832.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829450150200101128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4920
#40
28.60.6
27.928.5
Auto13.2
Teleop14.4
End1.1
blue by 4.0
7558
#18
32.60.9
31.632.5
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End3.3
Second
9062
#27
25.80.6
25.125.6
Auto11.2
Teleop13.4
End1.2
blue by 6.0
31.80.9
30.731.6
Auto6.1
Teleop16.8
End8.9
Third
23.10.6
22.322.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End2.5
red by 0.9
1285
#11
22.20.9
21.122.1
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.1