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Red89
132533.4
61031.3
18821.1
Blue136
447637.7
872924.7
403942.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211540608010014016018089136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.2
Teleop22.7
End2.5
blue by 9.0
42.40.5
41.341.8
Auto12.5
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Second
610
#13
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End-0.2
blue by 6.4
37.70.5
36.537.0
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End3.0
Third
188
#25
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto6.5
Teleop14.0
End0.6
blue by 3.6
8729
#17
24.70.5
23.524.0
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End2.7