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Red84
906225.8
406923.1
492028.6
Blue133
447637.7
872924.7
403942.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801195010015020084133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4920
#40
28.60.2
28.528.6
Auto13.2
Teleop14.4
End1.1
blue by 13.8
42.40.7
41.842.4
Auto12.5
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Second
9062
#27
25.80.2
25.625.8
Auto11.2
Teleop13.4
End1.2
blue by 11.9
37.70.7
37.037.7
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End3.0
Third
23.10.2
22.923.1
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End2.5
blue by 1.6
8729
#17
24.70.7
24.024.7
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End2.7