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Red113
415234.5
270627.8
588531.2
Blue74
18821.1
61031.3
132533.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106902040608012014016018011374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#12
34.50.2
34.634.8
Auto14.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
red by 1.1
33.40.3
32.632.3
Auto8.2
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Second
31.20.2
31.331.5
Auto10.6
Teleop18.1
End2.5
blue by 0.1
610
#13
31.30.3
30.530.2
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End-0.2
Third
2706
#15
27.80.2
27.928.1
Auto12.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
red by 6.7
188
#25
21.10.3
20.320.0
Auto6.5
Teleop14.0
End0.6