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Red103
403942.4
131019.2
447637.7
Blue107
540931.8
755832.6
128522.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11085050100150200103107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.1
41.241.3
Auto12.5
Teleop26.7
End3.3
red by 9.8
7558
#18
32.60.6
30.330.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End3.3
Second
37.70.1
36.536.6
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End3.0
red by 5.9
31.80.6
29.430.0
Auto6.1
Teleop16.8
End8.9
Third
1310
#39
19.20.1
19.119.2
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End3.0
blue by 3.0
1285
#11
22.20.6
19.820.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.1