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Red70
697828.7
491732.3
502427.3
Blue105
263426.4
571926.1
316135.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10194020030040050060070105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.6
33.132.5
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End2.2
blue by 2.8
3161
#20
35.10.2
34.734.8
Auto15.6
Teleop17.1
End2.4
Second
6978
#19
28.70.6
29.528.9
Auto11.8
Teleop15.6
End1.3
red by 2.4
26.40.2
25.926.1
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End2.6
Third
5024
#14
27.30.6
28.127.5
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.9
red by 1.2
5719
#33
26.10.2
25.725.9
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End0.4