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Red94
490734.1
591226.7
909831.4
Blue109
18821.1
61031.3
132533.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104895015020094109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#16
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End4.5
red by 0.6
33.40.4
32.332.7
Auto8.2
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Second
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto11.8
Teleop15.9
End3.7
red by 0.1
610
#13
31.30.4
30.230.6
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End-0.2
Third
5912
#10
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto10.7
Teleop13.5
End2.5
red by 5.6
188
#25
21.10.4
20.020.4
Auto6.5
Teleop14.0
End0.6