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Red102
403942.4
131019.2
447637.7
Blue80
502427.3
491732.3
697828.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109975015020010280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.0
41.341.3
Auto12.5
Teleop26.7
End3.3
red by 10.1
32.30.2
32.532.3
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End2.2
Second
37.70.0
36.636.6
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End3.0
red by 9.0
6978
#19
28.70.2
28.928.7
Auto11.8
Teleop15.6
End1.3
Third
1310
#39
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End3.0
blue by 8.2
5024
#14
27.30.2
27.527.3
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.9