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Red133
128522.2
755832.6
540931.8
Blue100
263426.4
571926.1
316135.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8997406080120140160133100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7558
#18
32.60.7
30.831.6
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End3.3
blue by 2.5
3161
#20
35.10.3
34.835.1
Auto15.6
Teleop17.1
End2.4
Second
31.80.7
30.030.7
Auto6.1
Teleop16.8
End8.9
red by 5.4
26.40.3
26.126.4
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End2.6
Third
1285
#11
22.20.7
20.421.1
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.1
blue by 3.9
5719
#33
26.10.3
25.926.2
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End0.4