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Red93
415234.5
270627.8
588531.2
Blue94
447637.7
131019.2
403942.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103108801201409394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#12
34.50.2
34.734.5
Auto14.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
blue by 7.9
42.40.1
41.341.3
Auto12.5
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Second
31.20.2
31.431.2
Auto10.6
Teleop18.1
End2.5
blue by 6.5
37.70.1
36.636.5
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End3.0
Third
2706
#15
27.80.2
28.027.8
Auto12.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
red by 8.6
1310
#39
19.20.1
19.219.2
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End3.0