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Red64
85418.0
503614.3
752016.0
Blue32
132527.7
99916.8
316130.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509501506432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#12
18.00.9
13.414.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 12.6
30.63.2
32.829.6
Auto14.1
Teleop14.3
End2.3
Second
16.00.9
21.722.6
Auto9.0
Teleop4.0
End3.0
blue by 11.7
27.73.2
38.835.6
Auto10.2
Teleop16.9
End0.7
Third
5036
#17
14.30.9
15.516.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End0.7
red by 7.5
9991
#20
6.85.4
9.03.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed