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Red58
999012.6
270227.4
999620.9
Blue24
956914.1
86519.4
872913.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61750501001502005824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.41.0
24.525.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End2.1
red by 8.0
865
#7
19.42.8
29.326.5
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Second
20.91.7
9.010.7
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End-0.6
red by 6.8
9569
#15
14.12.8
13.310.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End0.8
Third
9990
#11
12.61.7
9.010.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.2
blue by 0.9
8729
#23
13.42.8
23.921.1
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed