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Red56
270227.4
503214.9
219812.0
Blue48
999512.6
99996.0
18816.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions642802040801005648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.3
25.124.9
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End2.1
red by 10.9
188
#22
16.40.3
19.119.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Second
5032
#10
14.90.3
14.614.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
red by 2.3
9995
#18
12.60.6
6.16.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5
Third
2198
#26
12.00.3
15.515.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.7
red by 6.0
9999
#27
6.00.6
5.66.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed