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Red42
752016.0
86519.4
99926.4
Blue75
876418.2
131020.1
316130.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5678020401001201401604275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#7
19.40.8
26.826.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End1.4
blue by 11.2
30.60.2
28.528.7
Auto14.1
Teleop14.3
End2.3
Second
16.00.8
21.120.3
Auto9.0
Teleop4.0
End3.0
blue by 4.1
20.10.2
18.819.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Third
9992
#24
6.41.3
6.24.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 11.8
8764
#14
18.20.2
20.320.5
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned