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Red54
540642.6
872913.4
85418.0
Blue43
790211.0
962111.0
293519.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805102040601001201405443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.5
35.033.6
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End4.8
red by 22.9
2935
#21
19.70.9
24.323.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End0.9
Second
854
#12Sur
18.01.5
14.613.1
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
red by 7.0
9621
#25
11.00.9
9.68.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Third
8729
#23
13.41.5
19.417.9
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.5
red by 2.4
7902
#13
11.00.9
16.515.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed