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Red65
999620.9
956914.1
132527.7
Blue37
999012.6
99916.8
965916.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions713702060801001201406537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.5
35.536.0
Auto10.2
Teleop16.9
End0.7
red by 11.1
9659
#19
16.50.1
14.714.7
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Second
9996
#4Sur
20.90.8
12.012.8
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End-0.6
red by 8.3
9990
#11Sur
12.60.1
9.29.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.2
Third
9569
#15
14.10.5
10.410.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End0.8
red by 7.2
9991
#20
6.80.1
1.82.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed