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Red48
219812.0
999512.6
503214.9
Blue53
752016.0
876418.2
808914.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3877020601001201404853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#10
14.90.0
14.614.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
blue by 3.3
8764
#14
18.21.5
21.820.3
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Second
9995
#18
12.60.0
6.16.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5
blue by 3.4
16.01.5
22.621.1
Auto9.0
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Third
2198
#26
12.00.0
15.615.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.7
blue by 2.5
8089
#16
14.51.5
21.019.5
Auto6.8
Teleop5.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsEarned