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Red43
962111.0
18816.4
131020.1
Blue80
540642.6
86519.4
85418.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49890204060801001201401604380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.4
19.218.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 22.5
42.60.3
34.735.0
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End4.8
Second
188
#22
16.40.4
19.519.1
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End0.3
blue by 3.0
865
#7
19.40.3
26.526.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Third
9621
#25
11.00.4
10.09.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 7.0
854
#12
18.00.3
14.314.6
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned