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Red48
316130.6
131020.1
965916.5
Blue54
999620.9
132527.7
962111.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6864204060801004854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.0
28.727.7
Auto14.1
Teleop14.3
End2.3
red by 2.9
27.70.2
36.035.8
Auto10.2
Teleop16.9
End0.7
Second
20.11.0
19.018.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 0.8
20.90.4
12.812.4
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End-0.6
Third
9659
#19
16.51.0
14.713.8
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.8
red by 5.6
9621
#25
11.00.2
8.78.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed