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Red33
99926.4
18816.4
99996.0
Blue43
85418.0
999512.6
219812.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274302060801003343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#22
16.40.2
19.519.3
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End0.3
blue by 1.6
854
#12
18.00.2
13.113.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Second
9992
#24
6.40.3
4.84.6
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 6.2
9995
#18
12.60.3
6.77.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5
Third
9999
#27
6.00.3
6.25.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End0.2
blue by 6.0
2198
#26
12.00.2
15.315.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed