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Red32
872913.4
752016.0
293519.7
Blue56
403936.6
999012.6
808914.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6585020401001201403256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#21
19.72.2
23.421.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End0.9
blue by 16.9
36.60.7
39.438.8
Auto14.1
Teleop21.8
End0.8
Second
16.02.2
20.318.0
Auto9.0
Teleop4.0
End3.0
red by 1.5
8089
#16
14.50.7
17.616.9
Auto6.8
Teleop5.7
End1.9
Third
8729
#23
13.42.2
17.915.7
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.5
red by 0.9
9990
#11
12.61.2
9.48.2
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed