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Red65
270227.4
99916.8
86519.4
Blue48
503214.9
503614.3
876418.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605402040801001201401606548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.8
24.925.7
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End2.1
red by 9.2
8764
#14
18.20.1
20.520.4
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Second
865
#7
19.40.8
26.026.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End1.4
red by 4.5
5032
#10
14.90.1
14.314.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Third
9991
#20
6.81.4
2.03.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 7.5
5036
#17
14.30.1
15.315.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed