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Red50
999620.9
86519.4
999512.6
Blue13
962111.0
99926.4
790211.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53250204060801005013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.8
11.812.5
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End-0.6
red by 9.9
9621
#25
11.00.9
7.16.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Second
865
#7
19.40.5
23.123.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End1.4
red by 8.4
7902
#13
11.00.9
14.513.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End1.5
Third
9995
#18
12.60.8
7.88.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5
red by 6.2
9992
#24
6.41.3
4.32.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed