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Red67
132527.7
403936.6
872913.4
Blue59
85418.0
219812.0
876418.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1053902060801201401606759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.4
38.437.0
Auto14.1
Teleop21.8
End0.8
red by 18.4
8764
#14
18.20.7
19.219.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Second
27.71.4
34.933.5
Auto10.2
Teleop16.9
End0.7
red by 9.7
854
#12
18.00.7
11.712.4
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Third
8729
#23
13.41.4
14.713.3
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.5
red by 1.5
2198
#26
12.00.7
12.713.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed