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Red51
293519.7
808914.5
99916.8
Blue47
131020.1
270227.4
99996.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40450102030506070805147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#21
19.71.0
18.819.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End0.9
blue by 7.7
27.40.3
23.323.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Second
8089
#16
14.51.0
15.716.7
Auto6.8
Teleop5.7
End1.9
blue by 5.6
20.10.3
16.416.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Third
9991
#20
6.81.6
1.12.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End0.0
red by 0.8
9999
#27
6.00.4
3.53.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed