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Red37
503614.3
99926.4
999620.9
Blue79
540642.6
752016.0
18816.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2479040601001201403779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.9
12.513.5
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End-0.6
blue by 21.7
42.60.6
33.434.0
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End4.8
Second
5036
#17
14.30.7
11.812.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End0.7
blue by 2.1
188
#22
16.40.6
14.915.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Third
9992
#24
6.40.9
2.93.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 9.6
16.00.6
17.117.7
Auto9.0
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsEarned