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Red50
99916.8
999512.6
131020.1
Blue39
86519.4
293519.7
999012.6
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28690204060801001201401605039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.1
16.617.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End2.1
red by 0.4
2935
#21
19.71.1
19.818.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End0.9
Second
9995
#18
12.61.7
8.510.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5
blue by 6.8
865
#7
19.41.1
23.622.5
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Third
9991
#20
6.81.7
2.74.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 5.7
9990
#11
12.61.5
9.58.0
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed