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Red46
962111.0
808914.5
503214.9
Blue76
540642.6
790211.0
219812.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527602040601001201401604676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#10
14.91.4
16.014.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
blue by 27.7
42.60.3
34.434.7
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End4.8
Second
8089
#16
14.51.4
22.421.0
Auto6.8
Teleop5.7
End1.9
red by 2.5
2198
#26
12.00.3
15.215.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Third
9621
#25
11.01.4
11.410.0
Auto5.4
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Level
7902
#13
11.00.3
16.516.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed