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Red92
131020.1
999620.9
876418.2
Blue21
999512.6
503614.3
872913.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595202040801009221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.3
10.712.0
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End-0.6
red by 6.6
5036
#17
14.31.7
16.414.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Second
20.10.8
18.419.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End2.1
red by 6.7
8729
#23
13.41.7
21.119.4
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.5
Third
8764
#14
18.20.8
21.121.8
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.2
red by 5.6
9995
#18
12.62.8
9.06.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed