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Red66
293519.7
316130.6
85418.0
Blue90
503214.9
999512.6
540642.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68620501001502002506690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.3
27.027.4
Auto14.1
Teleop14.3
End2.3
blue by 12.0
42.62.2
36.238.5
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End4.8
Second
2935
#21
19.70.3
19.419.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End0.9
red by 4.8
5032
#10
14.92.2
11.714.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Third
854
#12
18.00.3
14.815.2
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
red by 5.4
9995
#18
12.62.7
8.311.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned