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Red39
503614.3
965916.5
962111.0
Blue60
270227.4
99926.4
872913.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354602060801001201403960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9659
#19
16.50.3
12.312.6
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 10.8
27.41.0
24.825.7
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Second
5036
#17
14.30.3
13.113.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End0.7
red by 0.9
8729
#23
13.41.0
12.413.3
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.5
Third
9621
#25
11.00.3
8.89.1
Auto5.4
Teleop4.4
End1.2
red by 4.5
9992
#24
6.41.2
3.64.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed