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Red50
131020.1
503214.9
293519.7
Blue88
99996.0
999620.9
540642.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566202040801001205088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.1
17.917.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 22.5
42.61.7
38.540.2
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End4.8
Second
2935
#21
19.70.1
19.719.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End0.9
blue by 1.2
20.91.9
15.117.0
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End-0.6
Third
5032
#10
14.90.1
14.013.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
red by 8.9
9999
#27
6.01.9
4.15.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed