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Red59
99926.4
85418.0
999512.6
Blue70
316130.6
956914.1
503614.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315902040801001201401605970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#12
18.01.1
15.216.2
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 12.6
30.61.3
27.428.7
Auto14.1
Teleop14.3
End2.3
Second
9995
#18
12.61.2
11.112.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5
blue by 1.7
5036
#17
14.31.3
13.414.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Third
9992
#24
6.41.2
4.85.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 7.6
9569
#15
14.11.3
9.711.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed