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Red40
790211.0
876418.2
86519.4
Blue46
219812.0
872913.4
965916.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5838020801001204046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#7
19.40.7
21.020.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End1.4
red by 2.9
9659
#19
16.50.6
12.613.2
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Second
8764
#14
18.20.7
18.417.7
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.2
red by 4.8
8729
#23
13.40.6
13.313.9
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.5
Third
7902
#13
11.00.7
11.110.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End1.5
blue by 1.0
2198
#26
12.00.6
11.412.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed