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Red57
132527.7
999512.6
293519.7
Blue98
316130.6
999620.9
752016.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66652040801001205798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.2
28.228.0
Auto10.2
Teleop16.9
End0.7
blue by 2.9
30.62.3
28.730.9
Auto14.1
Teleop14.3
End2.3
Second
2935
#21
19.70.2
19.619.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End0.9
blue by 1.2
20.92.3
17.019.2
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End-0.6
Third
9995
#18
12.60.2
12.312.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5
blue by 3.4
16.02.3
13.215.5
Auto9.0
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed