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Red36
503614.3
99996.0
808914.5
Blue92
131020.1
85418.0
999012.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335702040801001203692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8089
#16
14.50.0
14.814.8
Auto6.8
Teleop5.7
End1.9
blue by 5.6
20.11.9
17.719.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Second
5036
#17
14.30.0
14.714.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End0.7
blue by 3.7
854
#12
18.01.9
16.218.1
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Third
9999
#27
6.00.0
5.96.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End0.2
blue by 6.6
9990
#11
12.61.9
9.911.8
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned