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Red22
808914.5
85418.0
503614.3
Blue78
132527.7
316130.6
872913.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498301001502002278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#12
18.00.6
18.618.0
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 12.6
30.60.0
30.530.5
Auto14.1
Teleop14.3
End2.3
Second
8089
#16
14.50.6
15.014.5
Auto6.8
Teleop5.7
End1.9
blue by 13.2
27.70.0
27.527.5
Auto10.2
Teleop16.9
End0.7
Third
5036
#17
14.30.6
14.914.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End0.7
red by 0.9
8729
#23
13.40.0
13.313.3
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.5