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Red113
965916.5
403936.6
540642.6
Blue52
18816.4
131020.1
86519.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11155010015020011352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.4
42.242.6
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End4.8
red by 22.5
20.10.1
20.420.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Second
36.60.4
36.136.6
Auto14.1
Teleop21.8
End0.8
red by 17.2
865
#7
19.40.1
19.719.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Third
9659
#19
16.50.4
16.116.5
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.8
red by 0.1
188
#22
16.40.1
16.816.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End0.3