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Red41
909827.2
494629.6
87899.7
Blue40
293512.7
591218.1
747514.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions854801001504140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.62.1
32.130.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End4.1
red by 11.5
5912
#22
18.10.8
20.519.6
Auto9.1
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Second
9098
#13
27.22.1
29.627.5
Auto11.4
Teleop12.8
End3.0
red by 12.8
7475
#16
14.40.8
12.411.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End-0.4
Third
8789
#17
9.72.1
10.28.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.2
End1.1
blue by 3.0
2935
#14
12.70.8
14.814.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
68%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed