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Red98
205647.8
21988.9
447636.9
Blue45
111437.2
27084.2
68654.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111360501001502009845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.4
47.146.7
Auto20.0
Teleop24.2
End3.6
red by 10.6
37.20.0
34.034.0
Auto14.8
Teleop20.8
End1.6
Second
36.90.4
35.635.2
Auto9.8
Teleop25.1
End2.1
red by 32.6
6865
#23
4.30.0
2.62.6
Auto4.9
Teleop-0.8
End0.3
Third
2198
#24
8.90.4
9.18.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End1.5
red by 4.7
2708
#25
4.20.0
4.34.3
Auto1.5
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned2%Ensemble oddsMissed