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Red60
85416.0
415229.2
491719.8
Blue65
353815.1
136017.6
999517.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81370501001502006065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#11
29.20.9
28.928.1
Auto12.8
Teleop10.9
End5.5
red by 11.5
1360
#15
17.61.6
19.721.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.8
End1.1
Second
4917
#27
19.80.9
22.922.1
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 2.8
17.02.6
12.014.6
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Third
854
#20
16.00.9
16.015.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End0.8
red by 0.9
15.12.2
13.811.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed