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Red79
7715.4
124126.9
909827.2
Blue82
999618.6
293512.7
111437.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626260657075807982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9098
#13
27.20.4
27.527.9
Auto11.4
Teleop12.8
End3.0
blue by 10.0
37.21.4
34.035.4
Auto14.8
Teleop20.8
End1.6
Second
26.90.4
24.524.9
Auto6.1
Teleop19.9
End0.9
red by 8.3
18.62.3
12.915.3
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Third
771
#21
5.40.4
3.84.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 7.3
2935
#14
12.71.4
14.015.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsEarned