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Red116
353815.1
755821.6
124126.9
Blue68
491719.8
447636.9
7715.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646905010015011668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.91.9
24.926.7
Auto6.1
Teleop19.9
End0.9
blue by 10.0
36.90.4
35.235.6
Auto9.8
Teleop25.1
End2.1
Second
7558
#18
21.61.9
21.423.2
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End1.8
red by 1.8
4917
#27
19.80.4
22.122.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
15.12.1
11.613.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End1.5
red by 9.6
771
#21
5.40.4
4.24.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed