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Red39
747514.4
68654.3
21988.9
Blue70
415229.2
999618.6
999517.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2159040801001203970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7475
#16
14.40.4
11.612.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End-0.4
blue by 14.7
4152
#11
29.20.5
28.128.6
Auto12.8
Teleop10.9
End5.5
Second
2198
#24
8.90.4
8.79.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End1.5
blue by 9.7
18.60.8
15.316.1
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Third
6865
#23
4.30.4
2.63.0
Auto4.9
Teleop-0.8
End0.3
blue by 12.7
17.00.8
14.615.3
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed