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Red61
999517.0
494629.6
755821.6
Blue94
999618.6
205647.8
909827.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67970501506194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.7
29.128.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End4.1
blue by 18.2
47.80.3
46.647.0
Auto20.0
Teleop24.2
End3.6
Second
7558
#18
21.60.7
23.222.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End1.8
blue by 5.6
9098
#13
27.20.3
26.426.7
Auto11.4
Teleop12.8
End3.0
Third
17.01.1
15.514.3
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
blue by 1.6
18.60.5
16.116.6
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed71%Ensemble oddsMissed