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Red49
136017.6
491719.8
124126.9
Blue53
447636.9
68654.3
87899.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions824701001502004953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.91.5
26.725.2
Auto6.1
Teleop19.9
End0.9
blue by 10.0
36.90.5
35.636.1
Auto9.8
Teleop25.1
End2.1
Second
4917
#27
19.81.5
22.521.0
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 10.1
8789
#17
9.70.5
7.47.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.2
End1.1
Third
1360
#15
17.61.5
20.318.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.8
End1.1
red by 13.3
6865
#23
4.30.5
3.03.5
Auto4.9
Teleop-0.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed